Down the bottom, down on luck

Wk26 table GRAPH

Snapshot Week 26.

Friday, February 26.

Maybe it is merely savage coincidence or, on the other hand, you might deem it a more serious and sinister knife-twisting trend.

Whatever the explanation, though, the evidence is fairly indisputable.

The basement boys are getting a raw deal from the refs.

When down the bottom, you tend to be down on your luck regards those crunch, match-changing and potentially season-defining referee decisions.

Certainly, that’s how the 2015-16 Hypothetical Premier League is shaping up at the basement as we continue to right as many of the wrongs by the men in black as possible. Hypothetically speaking.

Week 26 table_bottom half

And if interesting for the neutral, one imagines it makes pretty repulsive reading for those of you with sworn, lifelong allegiances to any of  the clubs currently struggling to beat the drop.

Whether you bleed Newcastle, Sunderland, Villa or Norwich, you have genuine cause for complaint at the refereeing injustices of life at the wrong end of the table.

Here’s why:  (click on the club links below for a more detailed breakdown of  relevant HPL scoreline changes)

Newcastle are 18th in the real Premier League table on 24 points.

Only in the parallel HPL universe, Macca’s Toon are 16th with 28 points – and only three adrift of 12th-place Crystal Palace.

As for their north-east rivals Sunderland, they are 19th whichever table you check. But that’s where the similarities end.

For, instead of being four points from safety, the Black Cats are actually on 27 points – exactly the same total as Swansea, who are 17th in the HPL.

Sandwiched in between are Norwich. The Canaries have only 24 points in the Premier League – three less than our data suggests.

Finally, further proving the adage that struggling clubs suffer poor decisions, we have rock-bottom Aston Villa

Villa actually have two more points in the HPL. However, this does absolutely zip to improves their survival chances. As opposed to being eight points from safety – a la the real table – the HPL gap stands at nine.

Sadly, not even our study into video reviews for refs can prevent the Midlands giants crashing into the Championship.

Of those in the bottom half of the HPL table, Stoke City and West Brom are the pair laughing all the way to the Premier League bank.

Potters boss Mark Hughes and Baggies counterpart Tony Pulis won’t like to hear that one bit – both have been moaning all season about poor calls costing them – but the stats are screaming the complete opposite.

Courtesy of some seriously dodgy decisions going their way, Stoke are a thumping SIX points better off than they should be, while the Baggies have snatched an unwarranted FOUR.

Sides below them will be praying that the time-honoured ‘luck-evens-itself-up-over-the-course-of-a-season’ argument rings true come May 15.

But on the evidence of the last six months – and especially in more recent weeks – they should not be counting on such a turnaround.  HP

 

Week 26 table, reports, results

4 Comments

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